Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.353246 0.461859 0.580401 0.717509 0.870026 1.033003 1.218924
2025-08-10 0.202157 0.342550 0.513957 0.729136 0.984272 1.270843 1.611391
2025-08-17 0.106809 0.243400 0.430247 0.681862 0.995052 1.359266 1.803751
2025-08-24 0.046748 0.166288 0.355568 0.630427 0.988961 1.419117 1.956118
2025-08-31 0.018953 0.122451 0.314376 0.612341 1.015884 1.511542 2.140530
2025-09-07 0.006740 0.097598 0.295225 0.619603 1.071727 1.636654 2.361902
2025-09-14 0.000675 0.073054 0.269600 0.613008 1.106149 1.732936 2.546706
2025-09-21 NaN 0.050532 0.240006 0.595812 1.123141 1.805079 2.700354
2025-09-28 NaN 0.046147 0.246333 0.634036 1.215959 1.973580 2.972453
2025-10-05 NaN 0.044576 0.258446 0.681418 1.321579 2.158665 3.265325
2025-10-12 NaN 0.040613 0.263604 0.716887 1.410220 2.321814 3.531090
2025-10-19 NaN 0.041942 0.282323 0.775165 1.531450 2.527465 3.850087
2025-10-26 NaN 0.038455 0.289019 0.815839 1.631825 2.711562 4.149548
2025-11-02 NaN 0.029055 0.276251 0.822609 1.683926 2.833741 4.373313
2025-11-09 NaN 0.014002 0.234429 0.773668 1.652164 2.843677 4.454336
2025-11-16 NaN 0.004136 0.192646 0.718235 1.606926 2.833130 4.507416
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000954 0.171663 0.698956 1.613743 2.890411 4.645035
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000162 0.164566 0.706713 1.661563 3.002849 4.853099
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.151272 0.699650 1.685435 3.082190 5.018311
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.133963 0.681202 1.690071 3.134407 5.147987
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.142466 0.722184 1.790060 3.318369 5.448633
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.155090 0.772876 1.905797 3.524260 5.777934
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.162216 0.810751 2.000976 3.701831 6.070643